Last edited by Mitaur
Monday, July 20, 2020 | History

3 edition of Threat and risk analysis in the context of strategic forecasting found in the catalog.

Threat and risk analysis in the context of strategic forecasting

M. Hough

Threat and risk analysis in the context of strategic forecasting

by M. Hough

  • 306 Want to read
  • 38 Currently reading

Published by Institute for Strategic Studies, University of Pretoria in Pretoria .
Written in English

    Subjects:
  • Risk assessment,
  • Risk assessment -- Ethiopia,
  • Risk assessment -- Somalia,
  • Risk assessment -- Comoros,
  • Military intelligence

  • Edition Notes

    StatementM. Hough, A. du Plessis, G.P.H. Kruys.
    SeriesAd hoc publication -- no. 45., Ad hoc publication (University of Pretoria. Institute for Strategic Studies) -- no. 45.
    ContributionsDu Plessis, Anton., Kruys, G. P. H., University of Pretoria. Institute for Strategic Studies.
    Classifications
    LC ClassificationsHM1101 .H68 2008
    The Physical Object
    Pagination108 p. ;
    Number of Pages108
    ID Numbers
    Open LibraryOL23647336M
    ISBN 101868547345
    ISBN 109781868547340
    LC Control Number2009428477

    Strategic Warning for Criminal Intelligence Daniel R. Morris and Gregory Baudin-O’Hayon (King’s College London / Criminal Intelligence Service of Canada) Future Analysis as an Instrument of Strategic Planning Roland Kaestner (German Bundeswehr Academy) Early Warning and Political Risk Analysis in the Organization for.   Overnight Delivery Risk: The risk that occurs as a result of conducting transactions between different time zones. More specifically, this refers to .

      A simple way to think about this is in a cause and effect context. Risks are the potential effects of events which are caused by threats. So threat modeling would be a preliminary step in a risk assessment to determine what the threats might be. This is part of the first stage - Understand - in a simple risk management cycle.   The best threat intelligence solutions use machine learning to automate data collection and processing, integrate with your existing solutions, take in unstructured data from disparate sources, and then connect the dots by providing context on indicators of compromise (IOCs) and the tactics, techniques, and procedures (TTPs) of threat actors.. Threat intelligence is often broken down into.

      Henry Ristuccia, global leader, Governance, Risk and Compliance, at Deloitte Touche Tohmatsu Limited, discusses what’s different about strategic risk and how companies can use strategic risk analysis to protect and create business value. Learn how companies are changing their approach to strategic risk management by increasing the frequency and budget for monitoring and managing strategic.   What’s the difference between risk and threat? It’s a simple question about two very common terms we use in the security industry, but one that more people need to ask themselves. And as a result of not doing so, too many security professionals end up using risk and threat (and occasionally, vulnerability too) interchangeably. This.


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Threat and risk analysis in the context of strategic forecasting by M. Hough Download PDF EPUB FB2

Drawing upon years of practical experience and using numerous examples and illustrative case studies, Threat Forecasting: Leveraging Big Data for Predictive Analysis discusses important topics, including the danger of using historic data as the basis for predicting future breaches, how to use security intelligence as a tool to develop threat forecasting techniques, and how to use threat data visualization techniques and threat simulation.

In the course of this document, a review of available threat analysis methods and the recommendations of the SAE J guidebook regarding threat analysis and risk assessment method (TARA) is given.

The aim of this work is to provide a position statement for the discussion of available analysis methods and their applicability for early Cited by: With regard to this book and specifically this chapter, our goal is to ensure that the signal-to-noise ratio is quite low, so that we may maintain a precise focus on our goal of sending and receiving messages (intelligence and information concepts) germane to the topic of threat forecasting and predictive analysis.

Strategic Security Management is unique in that it fills the need for a definitive text on security best practices, introduces the concept of analysis for security decision making, and discusses advanced threat, vulnerability, and risk assessment techniques that you can apply to your organization’s security program.

This report, the ENISA Threat Landscape (ETL ), is the result of an analysis of cyber-threats that have been encountered in the last 12 months, that is, approximately between December and December   Risk Assessment is, as defined in risk management, the overall process of risk identification, risk analysis and risk evaluation.

It tends also to be used in a looser sense, as in Singapore RAHS, or in the US DIA five-year plan, when the latter mentions that it will “Provide strategic warning and integrated risk assessment” (p.3). You do a Risk Analysis by identify threats, and estimating the likelihood of those threats being realized.

Once you've worked out the value of the risks you face, you can start looking at ways to manage them effectively. This may include choosing to avoid the risk, sharing it, or. Suddenly, the world is awash in credit risk. Our new research shows how banks are tending to a radical surge in demand for one of their most ancient practices: measuring and monitoring credit risk.

Leading banks are deploying a new configuration of sector analysis. That is, Asset + Threat + Vulnerability = Risk. Risk is a function of threats exploiting vulnerabilities to obtain, damage or destroy assets.

Thus, threats (actual, conceptual, or inherent) may exist, but if there are no vulnerabilities then there is little/no risk. Risk vs Threat Risk and threat are two words that are often confused due to the appearing similarity between them paying no attention to the difference between the two words.

The word risk is used in the sense of ‘chance’, and the word threat is used in the sense of ‘warning’, and this is the main difference between the two words. Strategic Planning And Forecasting Fundamentals J. Scott Armstrong From Kenneth Albert (ed.), The Strategic Management Handbook.

New York: McGraw Hill,pp. 21 to 2- Individuals and organizations have operated for hundreds of years by planning and. Strategic Planning: The Context 1/1 What Is Strategic Planning. 1/3 The Process of Strategy and Decision Making 1/26 Business and Corporate Strategy 1/42 The Development of Strategic Ideas 1/43 Is Strategic Planning Only for Top Management.

1/48 Review Questions 1/50 Module 2 Modelling the Strategic Planning Process 2/1. Stratfor Threat Lens helps you identify, anticipate, measure and mitigate risks that emerging threats pose to your organizations people, assets and interests around the world.

Organizations around the world rely on bespoke analysis from Stratfor Advisory Services to pinpoint hidden risks and uncover key opportunities related to their strategic planning, critical investment decisions and global security. A SWOT analysis can offer helpful perspectives at any stage of an effort.

You might use it to: Explore possibilities for new efforts or solutions to problems. Make decisions about the best path for your initiative. Identifying your opportunities for success in context of threats.

Remember, probability is a forecasting technique based on the premise that you can forecast threat probability with reliable precision. Thus, in many cases you may be forcing decisions based on probability forecasts that are nothing more than guesswork.

Nonetheless, incorporating probability into a risk analysis continues to be a popular topic. In this context, the more immediate threats are sometimes referred to as 'security threats' and the less urgent as 'security risks', or 'potential' threats.

The element of uncertainty related to potential threat or risk in this regard, can be expressed in speculative terms or in probabilistic terms. Strategic Risk Forecast makes a future-oriented analysis of the forces that affects corporations.

We assist in minimizing the risks of operating in difficult and unfamiliar environments. Strategic Risk Forecast is developed specifically to analyze subjects of particular interest to the client in question. Strategic threat analysis is heady stuff. But so is futures work. Or fat-tails analysis.

Threat assessments and predictive estimates easily rank among the most demanded analytic products, particularly in strategic intelligence or foreign affairs analysis. Strategic Initiative: Partnering with the big OEM manufacturer. Combine our design expertise with their manufacturing prowess.

Initiative Risk: Convincing the big OEM manufacturer that the product is labeled under our existing brand and not a new one. How to do a SWOT Analysis for Risk Identification – Use Case 3. A SWOT analysis evaluates the internal strengths and weaknesses, and the external opportunities and threats in an organization's environment.

The internal analysis identifies resources. The Risk Report (new in PMBOK® Guide 6th Edition) is a document used to present information (e.g.

no. of identified threats and opportunities, distribution of risks across risk categories, metrics and trends) on overall project risk. It also includes a summary information on individual project risks. Perform Qualitative Risk Analysis. Risk and threat assessment are the pillars of security risk management and as such, vital methods towards cyber-protection and cyber-risk mitigation.

Work on risk and threat management has been central component of ENISA work for some years now.Stephen D. Gantz, Daniel R. Philpott, in FISMA and the Risk Management Framework, Information Security Risk. Information security risk comprises the impacts to an organization and its stakeholders that could occur due to the threats and vulnerabilities associated with the operation and use of information systems and the environments in which those systems operate.